Plan optimization: 46 plans × 30 years, $200M+ NPV improvement

Problem

A mining operator needed to choose among dozens of candidate mine plans, each with different capital profiles, throughput curves, and economic risk over a 30-year horizon. Traditional plan-evaluation processes could only score a handful of alternatives in detail — the rest were narrowed by gut feel.

Approach

R2 used RTOP to evaluate 46 candidate mine plans across the full 30-year horizon, with integrated capital, operating, and economic models. Each plan was stress-tested under stochastic commodity-price scenarios with integrated financial and probabilistic analysis. The Scenario Engine ranked plans on NPV and risk-adjusted return.

Result

The recommended plan delivered $200M+ NPV improvement over the operator’s prior baseline plan — and was defensible because all 46 alternatives had been evaluated on the same model under the same uncertainty distribution.